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How to read this board

In one minute

This board quietly checks about 67 public sources every 15 minutes, from earthquakes and power outages in Utah to oil prices and embassy evacuations, and sums them up in one colour.

You only need two things: the big colour in the Cluster condition panel (green, yellow or red) and the playbook under it, which says what to do. Everything else is there to explain the colour.

Each source is compared with its own recent normal, not with a fixed number. Oil at $90 is not a warning by itself; oil jumping far more than it usually does in a week is. That is why a quiet board stays green even on a busy news day.

One strange reading never turns the board red. Markets wobble and news spikes all the time. Real trouble shows up in several unrelated places at once, so the board waits for that.

The three colours and what to do

Green

Normal. At most one lane looks unusual.

Routine readiness:

  • Keep both cars above half a tank.
  • Keep two weeks of water, food, and medicine rotated.
  • Charge phones and power banks overnight.

Yellow

Watch. Two lanes look unusual, or one looks very unusual.

Get ahead, calmly:

  • Fill both cars and any gas cans.
  • Take out some cash.
  • Refill any prescription due in the next month.
  • Confirm the meeting point and who picks up the kids.
  • Check the go-bags.

Red

Act. Three or more separate lanes look unusual at once, or two look very unusual.

Act now:

  • Bring everyone home, or to the meeting point.
  • Fill water containers.
  • Charge phones, power banks, and the radio.
  • Stay off I-15 and away from crowds until the picture is clear.
  • Check in with family by text, which gets through when calls fail.

Official warnings skip the queue. Some signals are serious enough to show their own steps right away, even when the board is green:

  • Utah civil emergency alert
  • Utah severe weather well above normal
  • Earthquakes around Utah well above normal
  • Utah power outages well above normal
  • Federal government not open
  • Emergency presidential actions well above normal
  • Salt Lake City gamma dose rate red

If the colour is grey and says Stale, the board has not updated for over two hours. It is showing the last known colour, which is not the same as an all clear.

What each lane watches, and why it matters

A lane is one area the board watches. Each lane is green when normal, amber when unusual and red when very unusual. Amber and red describe one lane; yellow and red at the top describe the whole board. Lanes that read the same kind of evidence, such as different news counts, only count once.

Utah

Normal now

Utah crisis news, severe weather alerts, Rocky Mountain Power outages and earthquakes near Utah.

Why it matters: This is home. Local trouble matters more than anything far away, so several of these readings can raise a warning on their own.

Sources: Utah news sites, National Weather Service, Rocky Mountain Power, USGS.

Disasters

Normal now

Major earthquakes, hurricanes, extreme weather warnings, UN disaster alerts and FEMA declarations.

Why it matters: Natural disasters are the most likely emergency for most families. Big ones far away can still disrupt fuel, food and shipping.

Sources: USGS, National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, GDACS (UN/EU), FEMA.

Emergency

Normal now

Civil emergency alerts (US and Utah), emergency presidential orders, and restless volcanoes.

Why it matters: These are official warnings. A Utah civil emergency alert is shown on its own, without waiting for other signs.

Sources: National Weather Service, Federal Register, USGS Volcano Hazards.

Rocky Mountain gas prices, gas lines, baby formula shortages and recalls, empty shelves.

Why it matters: These are the things a family actually runs short of first. Panic buying spreads fast, so seeing it early buys time to top up calmly.

Sources: EIA, openFDA, Google News.

Ship traffic through Hormuz, the Red Sea, Suez, Panama and Malacca.

Why it matters: Most of what is in the stores, and much of the world's oil, comes by sea. A Hormuz drop reaches the gas pump within days; a Red Sea or Panama slowdown reaches shelves and prices weeks later.

Sources: IMF PortWatch (satellite ship tracking).

Health

Normal now

Flu, COVID and RSV emergency-room visits (US and Utah) and FDA drug shortages.

Why it matters: A fast rise in ER visits is the first sign of a bad outbreak, before hospitals fill. Drug shortages tell you to refill prescriptions early.

Sources: CDC emergency-department data, openFDA.

Outbreaks

Normal now

New WHO disease outbreak notices and news of lockdowns or curfews.

Why it matters: Lockdowns and curfews are what change daily life: schools, work, shops and travel.

Sources: World Health Organization, Google News.

Shutdown

Normal now

Whether the federal government is open, betting odds of a shutdown, and shutdown news.

Why it matters: A shutdown slows passports, parks, airports and some benefits.

Sources: US Office of Personnel Management, Kalshi, Google News.

Internet

Normal now

Countries where the internet has gone dark.

Why it matters: Governments cut the internet during unrest, coups and wars. Big outages can also come from attacks.

Sources: IODA (Georgia Tech), Cloudflare Radar.

Cyber

Normal now

Outages at big cloud providers and security holes that hackers are actively using.

Why it matters: A large cyberattack can take down banks, payments, phones and stores at once.

Sources: Provider status pages, CISA's known-exploited list.

Airspace

Normal now

FAA ground stops, security flight bans, hijack and emergency codes, military aircraft in the air.

Why it matters: The government closes or restricts airspace fast when there is a threat, often before it says why.

Sources: FAA, ADSB.lol.

How many planes take off from Salt Lake City, private-jet hubs and big overseas airports.

Why it matters: If private jets suddenly leave in numbers, people with inside knowledge may be moving. If departures collapse, flights are being stopped.

Sources: Live aircraft transponder data (ADSB.lol, airplanes.live).

Countries the State Department says not to visit, and embassies sending staff home.

Why it matters: When the US government pulls its own people out of a country, it usually knows something serious is coming there.

Sources: US State Department travel advisories.

Markets

Normal now

Gold, oil, the dollar, the stock market's fear gauge (VIX), credit stress and Bitcoin.

Why it matters: Big money reacts to trouble within minutes, often before the news does. A sudden rush into gold or a jump in the fear gauge is an early hint that something serious is happening.

Sources: Yahoo Finance, FRED (St. Louis Fed), New York Fed, Coinbase.

Energy

Normal now

US crude oil stockpiles and solar storms that can disturb the power grid and GPS.

Why it matters: Fuel and electricity sit under everything else. Falling stockpiles mean higher prices and possible shortages; a strong solar storm can knock out power and satellites.

Sources: US Energy Information Administration, NOAA Space Weather.

Nuclear

Normal now

Unusual quakes at nuclear test sites and the radiation level measured in Salt Lake City.

Why it matters: Rare, but the most serious. Rain can cause small harmless spikes, so a reading here is checked against the weather before anything else.

Sources: USGS, EPA RadNet.

How much the world's news is talking about conflict, evacuations, shipping, energy, money, outbreaks, flights and unrest.

Why it matters: When many outlets suddenly cover the same kind of crisis, it is usually real and growing.

Sources: Google News, GDELT.

News coverage of embassies ordering staff to leave a country.

Why it matters: Governments pull diplomats out before things get worse. It counts with the other news lanes, never on its own.

Sources: GDELT.

Crisis words in posts collected from X.

Why it matters: An early but noisy hint that needs confirmation from elsewhere.

Sources: Posts sent to the board from X.

Words on the board

Condition
The overall Green, Yellow or Red at the top. It sums up all the lanes.
Lane
One area the board watches, such as Markets or Health. Each lane groups a few feeds.
Sensor or reading
One number from one public feed, such as the price of gold or the count of Utah power outages.
Amber / red lane
That lane is unusual (amber) or very unusual (red) compared with its own recent normal, or past a fixed level such as VIX 30. The levels were checked against a year of each source's history.
Cluster
Several unrelated lanes looking unusual at the same time. Only a cluster turns the board red.
Sweep
One round of checking every feed. It runs every 15 minutes.
Stale
No sweep for over two hours. The colour shown is the last known one.
Calibrating
A feed is still learning what normal looks like and cannot raise a warning yet.
Held
A feed failed this time, so the board shows its last good reading for up to two hours.
Stand-in
A rough substitute for data the board cannot get for free yet. Stand-ins never raise a warning.
Tripwire
An official Utah or federal signal serious enough to show its own steps without waiting for a cluster.
Z-score
Analyst view only. How far today is from normal, in typical swings. 2 is amber, 3 is red, for rows scored this way. Prices and official scales use fixed levels instead.

Calm view and Analyst view

The board opens in the calm view: the colour, the playbook, Utah, the world map, your area and the latest news. The Analyst switch at the top right adds every lane, every individual reading with its numbers, extra map layers, a 7-day replay and the health of each data feed. You never need it to know what to do.

Tap any small on the board for a short note on that panel.

What this board is not

It is a personal early-warning board built on free public data. It is not an official warning system, and it can miss things or be late when a source is down. Always follow official alerts, such as phone emergency alerts, the National Weather Service and local authorities.

Some areas it would like to watch, such as grocery stock, transit ridership and school closures, have no free source yet. Those are shown in the Analyst view as stand-ins and never change the colour. Drug shortage rows are not medical advice. Times are Mountain time.

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