Sensor log
Markets
MarketsWatches gold, oil, the dollar, the stock market's fear gauge (VIX), credit stress and Bitcoin.Big money reacts to trouble within minutes, often before the news does. A sudden rush into gold or a jump in the fear gauge is an early hint that something serious is happening.Sources: Yahoo Finance, FRED (St. Louis Fed), New York Fed, Coinbase.How to read this board ›Gold futures3,899USD/ozGreenLVL —RATE —
COMEX gold futures (GC=F). A jump is read as a flight-to-safety move: amber at +8% in five trading days, red at +12%.
GC=F close 3898.90.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move -2.7% (amber at 8%, red at 12%). Status green.
Yahoo FinanceObserved 2026-10-29 22:00 MDT
WTI crude futures104.1USD/bblGreenLVL —RATE —
NYMEX WTI futures (CL=F). Amber at +15% in five trading days, red at +25%. A slow climb stays green.
CL=F close 104.12.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move +0.8% (amber at 15%, red at 25%). Status green.
Yahoo FinanceObserved 2026-10-29 22:00 MDT
VIX19.42indexGreenLVL —RATE —
CBOE Volatility Index. Amber at 30 (fear), red at 40 (panic), the levels traders use. It closed above 30 on 12 days in 2025 and 48 in 2022.
^VIX close 19.42.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 30, red at 40. Status green.
Yahoo FinanceObserved 2026-10-30 01:00 MDT
US Dollar Index101.9indexGreenLVL —RATE —
ICE US Dollar Index. A move of 3% in five trading days, up or down, is amber, and 5% is red.
DX-Y.NYB close 101.88.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move +0.1% (amber at 3%, red at 5%). Status green.
Yahoo FinanceObserved 2026-10-29 22:00 MDT
Broad dollar (FRED)121.3indexGreenLVL —RATE —
Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index (DTWEXBGS). Amber at a 3% move over five readings, red at 5%. The Fed posts it weekly, about a week late.
FRED DTWEXBGS close for 2026-10-23: 121.3202.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move -0.1% (amber at 3%, red at 5%). Status green.
FREDObserved 2026-10-23 12:00 MDT
Brent spot, days behind (FRED)123.1USD/bblGreenLVL —RATE —
Europe Brent spot (DCOILBRENTEU). Amber at +15% over five readings, red at +25%. EIA posts it with a lag of up to a week, so it can differ from the live Brent futures quote in the ticker.
FRED DCOILBRENTEU close for 2026-10-27: 123.1.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move +6.8% (amber at 15%, red at 25%). Status green.
FREDObserved 2026-10-27 12:00 MDT
VIX (FRED)17.2indexGreenLVL —RATE —
CBOE VIX close (VIXCLS). Amber at 30, red at 40.
FRED VIXCLS close for 2026-10-29: 17.2.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 30, red at 40. Status green.
FREDObserved 2026-10-29 12:00 MDT
High-yield credit spread (FRED)3.26% spreadGreenLVL —RATE —
ICE BofA US High Yield option-adjusted spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2). Widening spreads led the 2008, 2020, and 2023 stress. Amber when the spread widens 20% in five readings or tops 6 points, red at 40% or 8 points. It peaked at 4.6 in April 2025 and near 11 in March 2020.
FRED BAMLH0A0HYM2 close for 2026-10-29: 3.26.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 6, red at 8; 5-step move -4.1% (amber at 20%, red at 40%). Status green.
FRED (ICE BofA)Observed 2026-10-29 12:00 MDT
Fed standing repo take-up0USD bn / dayGreenLVL —RATE —
Dollars banks borrowed at the Fed's standing repo operations each day. Near zero in calm markets. Heavy use means overnight funding is short, as in September 2019. Fixed thresholds: amber at $10 billion, red at $50 billion.
Banks took $0.00 billion at the Fed's repo operations on 2026-10-30.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 10, red at 50. Status green.
Federal Reserve Bank of New YorkObserved 2026-10-30 12:00 MDT
Bitcoin (24/7)77,308USDGreenLVL —RATE —
Bitcoin's live price against the last daily close (00:00 UTC). It trades on weekends and holidays when other markets are shut, so a weekend shock shows here first. Amber at a 10% fall since the close, red at 18%.
Bitcoin is at $77,308, +0.2% since the last daily close of $77,180 (00:00 UTC).
Fixed thresholds: 1-step move +0.2% (amber at 10%, red at 18%). Status green.
Coinbase ExchangeObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Stablecoin peg (USDT)0.11% off $1GreenLVL —RATE ——
How far Tether (USDT) trades from one dollar. A break in the largest stablecoin is a fast sign of crypto and funding stress. Fixed thresholds: amber at 0.5%, red at 2%.
USDT trades at $0.9989, 0.11% off its dollar peg.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 0.5, red at 2. Status green.
Coinbase ExchangeObserved 2026-10-31 08:29 MDT
Energy
EnergyWatches US crude oil stockpiles and solar storms that can disturb the power grid and GPS.Fuel and electricity sit under everything else. Falling stockpiles mean higher prices and possible shortages; a strong solar storm can knock out power and satellites.Sources: US Energy Information Administration, NOAA Space Weather.How to read this board ›US crude stocks (EIA)Held410,625thousand barrelsGreenLVL —RATE —
Weekly U.S. commercial crude stocks (WCESTUS1). A draw of 4% in one week is amber and 7% is red; normal weeks move about 1%. The level itself trends with the seasons and is not scored.
Held from the 2026-10-31 08:15 MDT sweep; this sweep did not refresh it. EIA WCESTUS1 latest 410625 thousand barrels for the week of 2026-10-23. Requested newest-first, then ordered oldest to newest for the baseline.
Fixed thresholds: 1-step move -0.5% (amber at 4%, red at 7%). Status green.
The source took too long to answer, so this shows the last good reading.
EIAObserved 2026-10-23 12:00 MDT
Geomagnetic storm (Kp)3KpGreenLVL —RATE —
Planetary K-index, every 3 hours over 7 days. Amber at G3 (Kp 7-), which can disturb the grid, GPS, and HF radio, and red at G4 (Kp 8-). G1 storms (Kp 5) came about 120 times in the past year and mostly mean auroras, so they stay green.
Planetary Kp 3.00 (below storm level). 24-hour peak 4.33 (below storm level). G3 and above can disturb the grid, GPS, and HF radio.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 6.67, red at 7.67. Status green.
NOAA SWPCObserved 2026-10-31 03:00 MDT
Travel
TravelWatches countries the State Department says not to visit, and embassies sending staff home.When the US government pulls its own people out of a country, it usually knows something serious is coming there.Sources: US State Department travel advisories.How to read this board ›Level 4 advisories23destinationsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Destinations at Level 4. The first readings are a baseline.
23 destinations are Level 4. This count is a baseline until local history exists. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
U.S. State DepartmentObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- AfghanistanLevel 4
- BelarusLevel 4
- Burkina FasoLevel 4
- BurmaLevel 4
- Central African RepublicLevel 4
- ChadLevel 4
- Democratic Republic of the CongoLevel 4
- HaitiLevel 4
- IranLevel 4
- IraqLevel 4
- LebanonLevel 4
- LibyaLevel 4
- MaliLevel 4
- NigerLevel 4
- North KoreaLevel 4
- RussiaLevel 4
- SomaliaLevel 4
- South SudanLevel 4
- SudanLevel 4
- SyriaLevel 4
- UgandaLevel 4
- UkraineLevel 4
- YemenLevel 4
Ordered or authorized departures1advisoriesCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Advisories whose text says ordered or authorized departure. Two more than the past week's usual count is amber, three more is red.
1 advisory mentions ordered or authorized departure. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
U.S. State DepartmentObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- BelarusDeparture wordingDo not travel to Belarus for any reason due to unrest and other risks . The U.S. government has extremely limited ability to help detained U.S. citizens. You may not receive consular access. You could also face arbitrary detention with no contact with the outside world. Ordered d
Health
HealthWatches flu, COVID and RSV emergency-room visits (national and home region) and FDA drug shortages.A fast rise in ER visits is the first sign of a bad outbreak, before hospitals fill. Drug shortages tell you to refill prescriptions early.Sources: CDC emergency-department data, openFDA.How to read this board ›US flu ED visits1.2% of ED visitsGreenLVL —RATE —
CDC NSSP influenza share of emergency-department visits, United States, weekly. Every winter rises, so amber starts at 8.5%, about the worst peak since 2023 (8.6% (2025-26)), and red at 11%. CDC posts each week about six days after it ends.
United States Influenza: 1.2% of emergency-department visits (160 weeks).
Fixed thresholds: amber at 8.5, red at 11. Status green.
CDC NSSPObserved 2026-10-24 12:00 MDT
US COVID-19 ED visits0.4% of ED visitsGreenLVL —RATE —
CDC NSSP COVID-19 share of emergency-department visits, United States, weekly. Every winter rises, so amber starts at 4%, about the worst peak since 2023 (3.4% (2023-24)), and red at 6%. CDC posts each week about six days after it ends.
United States COVID-19: 0.4% of emergency-department visits (160 weeks).
Fixed thresholds: amber at 4, red at 6. Status green.
CDC NSSPObserved 2026-10-24 12:00 MDT
US RSV ED visits0.1% of ED visitsGreenLVL —RATE —
CDC NSSP RSV share of emergency-department visits, United States, weekly. Every winter rises, so amber starts at 1.5%, about the worst peak since 2023 (1.1% (2024-25)), and red at 2.5%. CDC posts each week about six days after it ends.
United States RSV: 0.1% of emergency-department visits (160 weeks).
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1.5, red at 2.5. Status green.
CDC NSSPObserved 2026-10-24 12:00 MDT
Utah flu ED visits1.1% of ED visitsGreenLVL —RATE —
CDC NSSP influenza share of emergency-department visits, Utah, weekly. Every winter rises, so amber starts at 9.5%, about the worst peak since 2023 (9.3% (2025-26)), and red at 12%. CDC posts each week about six days after it ends.
Utah Influenza: 1.1% of emergency-department visits (160 weeks).
Fixed thresholds: amber at 9.5, red at 12. Status green.
CDC NSSPObserved 2026-10-24 12:00 MDT
FDA current drug shortages1,153shortagesCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Current openFDA drug shortages. Not medical advice. Scored only after a stored baseline exists.
1153 current shortages in openFDA. Not medical advice. The count is a baseline until local history exists. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
openFDAObserved 2026-10-30 12:00 MDT
Airports
AirportsWatches how many planes take off from the home airport, private-jet hubs and big overseas airports.If private jets suddenly leave in numbers, people with inside knowledge may be moving. If departures collapse, flights are being stopped.Sources: Live aircraft transponder data (ADSB.lol, airplanes.live).How to read this board ›Salt Lake City departures2climbing outCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Aircraft climbing out of KSLC (Salt Lake City) at the moment of the sweep. Counts airborne aircraft within 8 nm of the field, under 5,000 ft above it, and climbing at 400 ft/min or more. All aircraft, not only business jets. Each sweep is compared with the same time of day on earlier days. Public ADS-B, no key.
2 aircraft climbing out of KSLC right now. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
ADSB.lol (airplanes.live fallback)Observed 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- KSLC Salt Lake City2 climbing outSKW5683 (E75L), DAL1087 (A21N)
Private-jet hub departures5climbing outCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Aircraft climbing out of Teterboro, Van Nuys, Palm Beach, and White Plains, the main US business-jet fields, summed. Counts airborne aircraft within 8 nm of the field, under 5,000 ft above it, and climbing at 400 ft/min or more. All aircraft, not only business jets. Each sweep is compared with the same time of day on earlier days. Public ADS-B, no key.
5 aircraft climbing out of KTEB, KVNY, KPBI, KHPN right now. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
ADSB.lol (airplanes.live fallback)Observed 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- KTEB Teterboro2 climbing outVJA312 (CL35), UAL2234 (B752)
- KVNY Van Nuys1 climbing outSWA3656 (B737)
- KPBI Palm Beach0 climbing out
- KHPN White Plains2 climbing outN71357, JIA5431 (CRJ9)
Overseas hub departures3climbing outCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Aircraft climbing out of London Luton, Paris Le Bourget, and Dubai, summed. Moscow and Tel Aviv were dropped: public ADS-B barely covers them. Counts airborne aircraft within 8 nm of the field, under 5,000 ft above it, and climbing at 400 ft/min or more. All aircraft, not only business jets. Each sweep is compared with the same time of day on earlier days. Public ADS-B, no key.
3 aircraft climbing out of EGGW, LFPB, OMDB right now. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
ADSB.lol (airplanes.live fallback)Observed 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- EGGW London Luton1 climbing outWUK715 (A21N)
- LFPB Paris Le Bourget0 climbing out
- OMDB Dubai2 climbing outFDB3YK (B738), FDB14Q (B38M)
Departure news
Departure-order coverage1articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours mentioning an ordered or authorized departure of embassy staff. It moved off GDELT, which rate-limits Vercel's shared egress so hard that the row was rarely fresh.
1 item in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
World news
World newsWatches any new crisis story that many outlets pick up at once, whatever the topic, checked every 2 minutes. Also how much the news is talking about conflict, evacuations, shipping, energy, money, outbreaks, flights and unrest.When many independent outlets suddenly cover the same new crisis, it is usually real and growing. A big one also goes to your phone.Sources: AP, Reuters, BBC, NBC, CBS, ABC, Fox, NPR, CNBC, Bloomberg and about 10 more outlets; Google News, GDELT.How to read this board ›1 feed failing on the last sweep.Conflict89articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: (war OR airstrike OR invasion OR missile) when:1d
89 items in the last 12 hours for Conflict. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Evacuations and drawdowns37articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: ("ordered departure" OR evacuation OR "embassy evacuation") when:1d
37 items in the last 12 hours for Evacuations and drawdowns. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Supply chain and shipping19articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: ("supply chain" OR "port congestion" OR "shipping delay" OR "empty shelves") when:1d
19 items in the last 12 hours for Supply chain and shipping. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Energy and grid28articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: ("power outage" OR blackout OR "power grid") when:1d
28 items in the last 12 hours for Energy and grid. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Financial stress17articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: ("bank run" OR "financial crisis" OR "market crash") when:1d
17 items in the last 12 hours for Financial stress. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Outbreaks38articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: (outbreak OR epidemic OR pandemic) when:1d
38 items in the last 12 hours for Outbreaks. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Aviation17articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: ("plane crash" OR "airspace closed" OR "airport closed") when:1d
17 items in the last 12 hours for Aviation. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Civil unrest45articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items published in the last 12 hours for this theme, plus BBC World and Al Jazeera headlines that match it. Scored against the stored baseline, not a single headline. Query: (riot OR "martial law" OR "civil unrest") when:1d
45 items in the last 12 hours for Civil unrest. Google News feeds are capped, so this is the recent-item count, not a claim of total world volume. Reuters and AP feeds were not available without a key or a block. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Breaking stories, many outlets0stories (red counts 2)GreenLVL —RATE ——
Any new story that many independent outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NBC, CNBC, Bloomberg and about 15 more) carry with crisis wording within six hours, whatever the topic. Amber when about 30% of the outlets that answered carry it (at least 5), red at about 45% (at least 7). A story that continues one from the last three days stays quiet unless it reaches red. Checked every 2 minutes; a red story counts 2. Replayed over two months of archived feeds.
No new crisis story is carried by 6 or more of the 19 outlets that answered.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status green.
Wire and broadcast feedsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Pope Leo XIV becomes first pontiff to vote in a US election5 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-30 08:48 MDT
- Police secure Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal as protests erupt over court chief’s suspension5 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-30 19:11 MDT
- Manhunt launched after California Spirit Halloween shooting leaves 1 dead, 6 injured5 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-31 02:53 MDT
- UK leader Burnham hints at apology for country's role in slave trade but rejects reparations calls5 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-31 03:46 MDT
- Coinbase leads crypto stock selloff following $6.3B Binance hack4 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-30 10:03 MDT
- Crypto giant Binance attempting to recover $6.3bn stolen in hack linked to North Korea4 outletsFirst seen 2026-10-30 11:37 MDT
GDELT crisis volume—FaultLVL —RATE ——
GDELT daily volume for a combined crisis query. Queries take turns, and the last good day is held for up to 30 hours. The RSS themes stand on their own if GDELT is down.
The source did not answer. It is retried on every sweep.
The source did not answer. It is retried on every sweep.
Gasoline
GasolineWatches gas prices at the pump and wholesale, how much gasoline the region has in storage, and stations running out.Gas is what a family needs to leave, work and shop. Wholesale prices and storage move days or weeks before the pump, and stations running dry is the clearest sign to fill up now.Sources: US Energy Information Administration, NYMEX futures via Yahoo Finance, Google News.How to read this board ›Gas price, Rocky Mountain regionHeld4.46USD/galGreenLVL —RATE —
EIA weekly retail regular gasoline for the Rocky Mountain region (PADD 4, which includes Utah). EIA has no Utah-only weekly series. Scored on the weekly move, since the price trends: amber at +6% in a week, red at +12%. The rows show the US average and regional diesel.
Held from the 2026-10-31 08:15 MDT sweep; this sweep did not refresh it. Rocky Mountain regular gasoline $4.458 a gallon for the week of 2026-10-26, down 1.0¢ on the week. Scored on its weekly moves, not its level.
Fixed thresholds: 1-step move -0.2% (amber at 6%, red at 12%). Status green.
The source took too long to answer, so this shows the last good reading.
EIAObserved 2026-10-26 12:00 MDT
- Rocky Mountain regular$4.458week of 2026-10-26
- US average regular$4.269
- Rocky Mountain diesel$6.521
Wholesale gasoline futures3.31USD/galGreenLVL —RATE —
NYMEX RBOB gasoline futures (RB=F), the wholesale price stations pay, repriced every trading day. The pump follows in one to two weeks, so this is the earliest price warning. Amber at +15% in five trading days, red at +25%, the same as crude. It moves with crude, so it counts once with Markets.
Wholesale gasoline (RBOB futures) $3.312 a gallon, up 3.1% over five trading days. Pump prices follow in one to two weeks.
Fixed thresholds: 5-step move +3.1% (amber at 15%, red at 25%). Status green.
Yahoo FinanceObserved 2026-10-29 22:00 MDT
Gasoline stocks, Rocky Mountain regionHeld96.8% of normalGreenLVL —RATE —
EIA weekly gasoline held at refineries, terminals and pipelines in the Rocky Mountain region (PADD 4), the supply stations draw on. Shown as a percent of normal: the latest four weeks against the same weeks in the last five years, so the normal late-summer low does not alarm. Amber below 85% of normal, red below 75%. The rows show the US figure.
Held from the 2026-10-31 08:15 MDT sweep; this sweep did not refresh it. Rocky Mountain gasoline stocks were 6.8M bbl for the week of 2026-10-23, 96.8% of normal for this time of year (four weeks averaged, against the same weeks of the last five years).
Fixed thresholds: amber at 85, red at 75. Status green.
The source took too long to answer, so this shows the last good reading.
EIAObserved 2026-10-23 12:00 MDT
- Rocky Mountain stocks96.8% of normal6.8M bbl, week of 2026-10-23
- US stocks95.8% of normal209.2M bbl
Stations out of fuel and gas lines8articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours about gas shortages, stations out of fuel, gas lines, or fuel rationing. There is no public station-level fuel availability feed, so this is the fastest outage signal.
8 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Baby formula
Baby formulaWatches infant formula recalls from FDA and news of formula shortages.Babies cannot switch foods. The 2022 shortage began with one plant's recall and emptied shelves for months, so a recall is the time to buy a few weeks ahead calmly.Sources: FDA recall notices, openFDA, Google News.How to read this board ›Infant formula recalls (FDA)0companies / 30dGreenLVL —RATE ——
Companies with an infant formula recall in the last 30 days, from FDA's recall notices (same day) and openFDA enforcement reports (weeks later), counted once per company. FDA logs about three a year, so one recall is listed in the rows but stays green. Amber at 2 companies, red at 3. The 2022 shortage began with one maker's recall, so read the rows too.
0 companies with an infant formula recall in the last 30 days: 0 FDA enforcement reports and 0 FDA recall notices.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 2, red at 3. Status green.
FDAObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Baby formula shortages0articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours about baby or infant formula shortages, recalls, or empty shelves. There is no public shelf-stock feed for formula, so this is the shortage signal.
0 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Drinking water
Drinking waterWatches boil-water and do-not-drink orders, bottled water selling out, and drought in the home state.People can go only days without safe water. A boil order or a run on bottled water spreads fast; drought decides how much the reservoirs and wells hold months ahead.Sources: US Drought Monitor, Google News.How to read this board ›Boil-water and do-not-drink orders9articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours about boil-water advisories, do-not-drink orders, water outages or contamination. Utilities post these on their own sites, and there is no national feed.
9 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 2). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Bottled water shortages2articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours about bottled water selling out, purchase limits, empty shelves or emergency water handouts. There is no public shelf-stock feed.
2 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 2). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Drought, home state13.53% of areaGreenLVL —RATE —
Share of the home state in extreme or exceptional drought (D3-D4), from the weekly US Drought Monitor. Drought builds over months and decides reservoir and well levels. Amber at 50% of the state, red at 80%: 2020-2022 reached both, and 2018 peaked at 47%.
13.5% of the home state is in extreme or exceptional drought (D3-D4) on the map of 2026-10-27, and 51.1% in severe drought or worse. Drought builds over months, so this is context for water supply, not a fast alarm.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 50, red at 80. Status green.
US Drought MonitorObserved 2026-10-27 12:00 MDT
- Home state, extreme or worse13.5%D4 exceptional 0.0%, map of 2026-10-27
- Home state, severe or worse51.1%
- Lower 48, extreme or worse9.4%
Store shelves
Store shelvesWatches empty shelves, panic buying and purchase limits.These are the things a family actually runs short of first. Panic buying spreads fast, so seeing it early buys time to top up calmly.Sources: Google News.How to read this board ›Empty shelves and panic buying15articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours about empty or bare shelves, panic buying, purchase limits, or stockpiling. A stand-in for out-of-stock data, which has no public feed.
15 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Shipping
ShippingWatches ship traffic through Hormuz, the Red Sea, Suez, Panama and Malacca.Most of what is in the stores, and much of the world's oil, comes by sea. A Hormuz drop reaches the gas pump within days; a Red Sea or Panama slowdown reaches shelves and prices weeks later.Sources: IMF PortWatch (satellite ship tracking).How to read this board ›Strait of Hormuz3.8% of normalRedLVL —RATE —
Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about a fifth of the world's oil. A drop reaches gas prices within days. The last 7 days as a percent of a normal day, the median over the latest year that was not itself disrupted, so a long closure is measured against traffic before it. From satellite ship tracking. PortWatch runs a few days behind. Fixed thresholds from 2019-2026 history: amber at 70%, red at 50%.
Strait of Hormuz: 3.3 transits a day over the 7 days to 2026-10-25, 4% of a normal day (87, the median of the latest year without a closure). Carries about a fifth of the world's oil. PortWatch runs a few days behind.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 70, red at 50. Status red. Ongoing since 2026-03-03, so it does not count toward the board.
IMF PortWatchObserved 2026-10-25 12:00 MDT
- Last 7 days3.3 a dayto 2026-10-25
- Normal day, before any closure87
- Of which, last 7 days6 tankers
Bab el-Mandeb (Red Sea)84.9% of normalGreenLVL —RATE —
Ships through Bab el-Mandeb at the south end of the Red Sea. Attacks here since late 2023 sent ships around Africa, adding weeks and raising freight costs. The last 7 days as a percent of a normal day, the median over the latest year that was not itself disrupted, so a long closure is measured against traffic before it. From satellite ship tracking. PortWatch runs a few days behind. Fixed thresholds from 2019-2026 history: amber at 70%, red at 50%.
Bab el-Mandeb (Red Sea): 28.9 transits a day over the 7 days to 2026-10-25, 85% of a normal day (34, the median of the latest year without a closure). Carries the Red Sea route between Asia and Europe. PortWatch runs a few days behind.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 70, red at 50. Status green.
IMF PortWatchObserved 2026-10-25 12:00 MDT
- Last 7 days28.9 a dayto 2026-10-25
- Normal day, before any closure34
- Of which, last 7 days51 container ships, 67 tankers
Suez Canal100.7% of normalGreenLVL —RATE —
Ships through the Suez Canal. The Ever Given blocked it for six days in March 2021. The last 7 days as a percent of a normal day, the median over the latest year that was not itself disrupted, so a long closure is measured against traffic before it. From satellite ship tracking. PortWatch runs a few days behind. Fixed thresholds from 2019-2026 history: amber at 70%, red at 50%.
Suez Canal: 41.3 transits a day over the 7 days to 2026-10-25, 101% of a normal day (41, the median of the latest year without a closure). Carries the Red Sea route between Asia and Europe. PortWatch runs a few days behind.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 70, red at 50. Status green.
IMF PortWatchObserved 2026-10-25 12:00 MDT
- Last 7 days41.3 a dayto 2026-10-25
- Normal day, before any closure41
- Of which, last 7 days97 container ships, 114 tankers
Panama Canal89.7% of normalGreenLVL —RATE —
Ships through the Panama Canal, the route from Asia to the US East and Gulf coasts. Drought cut its traffic in 2023. The last 7 days as a percent of a normal day, the median over the latest year that was not itself disrupted, so a long closure is measured against traffic before it. From satellite ship tracking. PortWatch runs a few days behind. Fixed thresholds from 2019-2026 history: amber at 70%, red at 50%.
Panama Canal: 28.7 transits a day over the 7 days to 2026-10-25, 90% of a normal day (32, the median of the latest year without a closure). Carries Asia to the US East and Gulf coasts. PortWatch runs a few days behind.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 70, red at 50. Status green.
IMF PortWatchObserved 2026-10-25 12:00 MDT
- Last 7 days28.7 a dayto 2026-10-25
- Normal day, before any closure32
- Of which, last 7 days59 container ships
Malacca Strait100% of normalGreenLVL —RATE —
Ships through the Malacca Strait, the busiest lane out of East Asia. The last 7 days as a percent of a normal day, the median over the latest year that was not itself disrupted, so a long closure is measured against traffic before it. From satellite ship tracking. PortWatch runs a few days behind. Fixed thresholds from 2019-2026 history: amber at 70%, red at 50%.
Malacca Strait: 228.0 transits a day over the 7 days to 2026-10-25, 100% of a normal day (228, the median of the latest year without a closure). Carries the busiest lane out of East Asia. PortWatch runs a few days behind.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 70, red at 50. Status green.
IMF PortWatchObserved 2026-10-25 12:00 MDT
- Last 7 days228.0 a dayto 2026-10-25
- Normal day, before any closure228
- Of which, last 7 days427 container ships, 531 tankers
Internet
InternetWatches countries where the internet has gone dark.Governments cut the internet during unrest, coups and wars. Big outages can also come from attacks.Sources: IODA (Georgia Tech), Cloudflare Radar.How to read this board ›Countries with outages (IODA)6countries / 24hGreenLVL -0.44RATE —
Countries with an IODA country-level outage event in each 24-hour window over 30 days. IODA combines BGP, active probing, and darknet telescope signals. Small outages are constant, so amber needs about four times the usual number of countries at once. No key.
6 countries with an IODA outage event in the last 24 hours. Events come from BGP, active probing, and telescope signals.
Level z -0.44 over 21 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 3, red 4, direction higher).
IODA, Georgia TechObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- GuamIODA severity 418,879Started 2026-10-17 11:10 MDT
- St. Pierre And MiquelonIODA severity 116,472Started 2026-09-17 16:15 MDT
- BermudaIODA severity 64,517Started 2026-09-17 13:25 MDT
- ArmeniaIODA severity 48,500Started 2026-10-08 10:20 MDT
- Papua New GuineaIODA severity 42,972Started 2026-10-07 16:55 MDT
- BarbadosIODA severity 33,304Started 2026-10-11 12:15 MDT
Cloudflare Radar outages1outages / 24hGreenLVL -0.21RATE —
Outage annotations from the Cloudflare Radar Outage Center, including government-directed shutdowns.
1 outage active in the last 24 hours on Cloudflare Radar, 0 marked government-directed.
Level z -0.21 over 21 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 3, red 4, direction higher).
Cloudflare RadarObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Guyanapower outageStarted 2026-10-30 06:00 MDT
Shutdown
ShutdownWatches whether the federal government is open, betting odds of a shutdown, and shutdown news.A shutdown slows passports, parks, airports and some benefits.Sources: US Office of Personnel Management, Kalshi, Google News.How to read this board ›OPM operating statusHeldOpenGreenLVL —RATE ——
Federal operating status for the Washington, DC area. Reads 1 when OPM is not open or mentions a lapse in appropriations, shutdown, or furlough. A snow day also reads 1, so it needs another lane to alert. The rows also show the days left before current appropriations expire (FUNDING_DEADLINE, default 2026-12-11).
Held from the 2026-10-31 08:15 MDT sweep; this sweep did not refresh it. OPM says: Open. Federal agencies in the Washington, DC area are Open. Weather closures also read as closed.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status green.
The source did not answer, so this shows the last good reading.
U.S. Office of Personnel ManagementObserved 2026-10-31 08:15 MDT
- StatusOpen
- Posted/Date(1793452828910)/
- Funding deadline2026-12-11, 42 days leftbuilt-in default, set FUNDING_DEADLINE when Congress moves it
Shutdown odds (Kalshi)—No signalLVL —RATE ——
Highest implied yes price among open Kalshi government-shutdown markets (public market data, no key). Series KXGOVSHUT unless KALSHI_SHUTDOWN_SERIES is set. A market price, not a forecast from this desk.
No open, priced Kalshi markets in series KXGOVSHUT. Set KALSHI_SHUTDOWN_SERIES if Kalshi renamed it.
Shutdown news velocity4articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours mentioning a government shutdown, lapse in appropriations, continuing resolution, or funding deadline.
4 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Disasters
DisastersWatches major earthquakes, hurricanes, extreme weather warnings, UN disaster alerts and FEMA declarations.Natural disasters are the most likely emergency for most families. Big ones far away can still disrupt fuel, food and shipping.Sources: USGS, National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, GDACS (UN/EU), FEMA.How to read this board ›GDACS red alerts0red-level eventsGreenLVL —RATE —
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System red alerts (earthquakes, cyclones, floods, volcanoes, droughts, wildfires) open in each 24-hour window over 30 days. A red alert stays open for about two weeks, and one or two were open a third of the year to October 2026, so amber needs 3 at once and red 4. Orange alerts are listed in the rows.
0 red GDACS alerts open, and 0 orange.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 3, red at 4. Status green.
GDACS (UN / EU JRC)Observed 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Damaging earthquakes (PAGER)0PAGER levelGreenLVL —RATE —
Highest USGS PAGER impact alert among M5.0+ earthquakes in each 24-hour window: 0 for none, green, or yellow, 1 for orange (likely 100 or more deaths or large losses), 2 for red. The count of M5+ quakes swings with aftershocks at sea and is shown in the rows, not scored. Orange is amber and red is red; there were 12 such quakes in the year to October 2026.
1 M5.0+ earthquake worldwide in the last 24 hours. None with a PAGER alert above green.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status green.
USGSObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- 196 km NW of Port-Olry, VanuatuM5.02026-10-31 05:31 MDT
FEMA disaster declarations2declarations / 7dGreenLVL —RATE —
New federal emergency, major-disaster, and fire declarations per 7-day window over 26 weeks, one per disaster number. Declarations come in batches, so this uses fixed thresholds: amber at 15 in a week (about the busiest 1% of weeks in the past year), red at 25.
2 new federal declarations in the last 7 days. Counts emergency (EM), major (DR), and fire (FM) declarations.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 15, red at 25. Status green.
OpenFEMAObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- FL: HURRICANE ISAIASDR-49552026-10-26 18:00 MDT
- NM: SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGEM-36602026-10-25 18:00 MDT
- MP: TROPICAL STORM CHAMPIEM-36582026-10-16 18:00 MDT
- GU: TYPHOON CHAMPIEM-36592026-10-16 18:00 MDT
- CA: NORTE FIREFM-56792026-10-15 18:00 MDT
- GA: HURRICANE ISAIASEM-36572026-10-08 18:00 MDT
- FL: HURRICANE ISAIASEM-36552026-10-08 18:00 MDT
- AL: HURRICANE ISAIASEM-36562026-10-08 18:00 MDT
- WV: SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODINGDR-49532026-10-06 18:00 MDT
- HI: HURRICANE LALADR-49512026-10-06 18:00 MDT
US Extreme weather alerts0alertsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Distinct active NWS alerts at Extreme severity nationwide (tornado emergencies, extreme wind, and similar). Utah Severe and Extreme alerts are scored separately on the Utah lane.
0 active Extreme NWS alerts nationwide. Scored after a stored baseline exists. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
National Weather ServiceObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Active tropical storms0stormsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Active storms in the NHC CurrentStorms feed (Atlantic and East/Central Pacific).
0 active storms tracked by NHC (Atlantic and East/Central Pacific), 0 hurricanes. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
National Hurricane CenterObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Outbreaks
OutbreaksWatches new WHO disease outbreak notices and news of lockdowns or curfews.Lockdowns and curfews are what change daily life: schools, work, shops and travel.Sources: World Health Organization, Google News.How to read this board ›WHO outbreak notices0notices / 7dGreenLVL -0.35RATE —
WHO Disease Outbreak News posts per 7-day window over 26 weeks.
0 WHO Disease Outbreak News posts in the last 7 days, 4 in 30 days.
Level z -0.35 over 16 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 2, red 3, direction higher).
World Health OrganizationObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Lockdown and curfew news28articles / 12hCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Google News items in the last 12 hours mentioning a lockdown, quarantine, curfew, stay-at-home or shelter-in-place order, or state of emergency.
28 items in the last 12 hours. Google News caps the feed, so this is recent velocity, not total volume. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Airspace
AirspaceWatches FAA ground stops, security flight bans, hijack and emergency codes, military aircraft in the air.The government closes or restricts airspace fast when there is a threat, often before it says why.Sources: FAA, ADSB.lol.How to read this board ›FAA ground stops, not weather0programsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Active FAA ground stops, ground delay programs, and airport closures across the US whose reason is not weather, traffic volume, or runway work: equipment, staffing, security, and similar. A stormy afternoon can bring 15 weather programs, which are listed in the rows but not scored. Routine closures to transient general aviation are left out. Salt Lake City is called out in the rows.
0 programs for reasons other than weather, traffic volume, or runway work. 0 ground stops and 0 other ground delay or closure programs active in the US in all. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
FAA NAS StatusObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Security flight restrictions51TFRsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Active FAA temporary flight restrictions of type SECURITY or SPECIAL. VIP, sports, air show, and fire restrictions are counted in the rows but not scored. Utah ones are called out.
51 security flight restrictions active, of 80 TFRs in all. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
FAA TFR listObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Palm Beach, FL, Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/4127 · FL
- DUBUQUE, IA, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/4122 · IA
- GRAND FORKS AFB, ND, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, March 14, 2027 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/4116 · ND
- Libby AAF, AZ, Friday, October 30, 2026 through Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/4083 · AZ
- NEW YORK, NY, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/3960 · NY
- YUBA CITY, CA, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/3959 · CA
- Atlanta, GA, Friday, October 30, 2026 through Saturday, October 31, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/3283 · GA
- New York, NY, Sunday, November 1, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/2853 · NY
- New York, NY, Saturday, October 31, 2026 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/2792 · NY
- CEIBA, PR, Saturday, October 31, 2026 through Saturday, March 13, 2027 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/2670 · PR
- Beale AFB, CA, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, March 14, 2027 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/2547 · CA
- Clear, AK, Sunday, November 1, 2026 through Sunday, March 14, 2027 LocalSECURITYNOTAM 6/2481 · AK
Emergency squawks (7500/7700)0aircraftGreenLVL —RATE ——
Aircraft broadcasting 7500 (hijack) or 7700 (general emergency) worldwide right now, from a volunteer ADS-B network. Any 7500 is named in the rows. Fixed thresholds: amber at 3, red at 6.
0 aircraft squawking 7500 (hijack) and 0 squawking 7700 (emergency) right now.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 3, red at 6. Status green.
ADSB.lolObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Military aircraft airborne107aircraftCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Military aircraft visible on ADS-B worldwide, with tankers and the E-4B and E-6B command aircraft named in the rows. Many military flights hide, so read this as posture, not a full count.
107 military aircraft visible on ADS-B, 9 tankers, 1 E-4B, E-6B, or VC-25 type. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
ADSB.lolObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Nuclear
NuclearWatches unusual quakes at nuclear test sites and the radiation level measured near home.Rare, but the most serious. Rain can cause small harmless spikes, so a reading here is checked against the weather before anything else.Sources: USGS, EPA RadNet.How to read this board ›Seismic events at test sites0events / 7dGreenLVL —RATE ——
Shallow (under 15 km) M3+ events within 25 km of Punggye-ri, Lop Nur, Novaya Zemlya, or the Nevada test site. At 60 km, natural quakes near Lop Nur and in Nevada read amber about five weeks a year; at 25 km, about one. USGS often labels a test an earthquake at first, so location matters more than type. Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2.
No shallow M3+ events near Punggye-ri, Lop Nur, Novaya Zemlya, or the Nevada test site in the last 7 days.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status green.
USGSObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
USGS nuclear explosion events0events / 30dGreenLVL —RATE ——
Events USGS has classified as a nuclear explosion anywhere in the last 30 days. Any one is red.
No events classified as a nuclear explosion in the last 30 days.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 1. Status green.
USGSObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Gamma dose rate, Salt Lake City62nSv/hGreenLVL -0.64RATE —
Hourly gamma dose equivalent rate at the EPA RadNet monitor in Salt Lake City, against its own 2-day baseline. Normal background there runs about 50 to 80 nSv/h, and rain or a winter inversion can push it toward 100 for a few hours, so amber needs about 16 nSv/h over the baseline and red about 24. It also needs another lane to alert. EPA posts with a lag of several hours.
Salt Lake City gamma dose rate 62 nSv/h at 2026-10-31 07:00 MDT.
Level z -0.64 over 48 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 2, red 3, direction higher).
EPA RadNetObserved 2026-10-31 07:00 MDT
Emergency
EmergencyWatches civil emergency alerts (US and the home sector), emergency presidential orders, and restless volcanoes.These are official warnings. A civil emergency alert in the home sector is shown on its own, without waiting for other signs.Sources: National Weather Service, Federal Register, USGS Volcano Hazards.How to read this board ›Civil emergency alerts (US)0alertsCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Active non-weather alerts relayed through the national alert system: civil danger, civil emergency, shelter in place, evacuate immediately, law enforcement, local area emergency, hazardous materials, nuclear plant, and radiological hazard. AMBER child abduction alerts are left out.
0 active civil emergency alerts nationwide. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
National Weather ServiceObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Civil emergency alerts (Utah)0alertsGreenLVL —RATE ——
The same non-weather civil alerts, for Utah only. Any one is amber. Two are red.
No active civil emergency alerts in Utah.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status green.
National Weather ServiceObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Emergency presidential actions1documents / 7dGreenLVL +0.57RATE —
Presidential documents per week whose title invokes a national emergency, the Insurrection Act, the National Guard or armed forces, martial law, the Defense Production Act, quarantine, or continuity of government. The Federal Register prints 1 to 3 days after signing.
1 presidential document invoking emergency powers published in the last 7 days, 1 in 30 days.
Level z +0.57 over 16 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 2, red 3, direction higher).
Federal RegisterObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Elevated US volcanoes1at watch or warningCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
US volcanoes at alert level WATCH or WARNING. Most are in Alaska or Hawaii. Yellowstone and the Cascades are called out in the rows whenever they are above normal.
1 US volcano at WATCH or WARNING, 4 above normal in all. Yellowstone is at normal. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 3). No alert from this indicator.
USGS Volcano Hazards ProgramObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Great SitkinWATCH / ORANGEAVO
- ShishaldinADVISORY / YELLOWAVO
- KilaueaADVISORY / YELLOWHVO
- Ahyi SeamountADVISORY / YELLOWNMI
Cyber
CyberWatches outages at big cloud providers, security holes that hackers are actively using, and hacks of the big crypto exchanges.A large cyberattack can take down banks, payments, phones and stores at once.Sources: Provider status pages, CISA's known-exploited list, DefiLlama's hack list, Google News.How to read this board ›Cloud and CDN outages1providers degradedGreenLVL —RATE ——
Providers reporting a major or critical incident: Cloudflare, GitHub, Zoom, Atlassian, DigitalOcean, Vercel, Twilio, Discord, and Google Cloud. Two or more at once is how a broad internet outage looks. Fixed thresholds: amber at 2, red at 4.
1 provider reporting a major or critical incident, 2 with any incident, of 9 checked.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 2, red at 4. Status green.
Provider status pagesObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- CloudflaremajorPartial System Outage
- TwiliominorPartially Degraded Service
Actively exploited vulnerabilities10added / 7dGreenLVL +0.32RATE —
Vulnerabilities CISA added to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog per week, over 26 weeks. Ransomware-linked adds are named in the rows. CISA adds in batches, so amber needs about 2.5 times a normal week.
10 vulnerabilities added to the KEV catalog in the last 7 days, 0 linked to ransomware.
Level z +0.32 over 16 prior points. 1-step rate z n/a. Status green from the level check (amber 2, red 3, direction higher).
CISA KEV catalogObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- CVE-2026-118527Ivanti Connect Secure2026-10-30 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-111357Ivanti Connect Secure2026-10-30 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-97229GitLab Community Edition and Enterprise Edition2026-10-29 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-76418Cisco Secure Firewall ASA Software and Cisco Secure FTD Software2026-10-29 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-41709Broadcom VMware ESX2026-10-28 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-46300Linux Kernel2026-10-28 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-48356Adobe Commerce and Magento2026-10-27 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-111497Google Brotli2026-10-27 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-109618PHP Group PHP2026-10-26 06:00 MDT
- CVE-2026-109619PHP Group PHP2026-10-26 06:00 MDT
Crypto exchange hacks (news)1exchangesAmberLVL —RATE ——
Major crypto exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, OKX, Bybit, Bitget and others) named in hack, drain or withdrawal-freeze headlines by 3 or more outlets in the last 24 hours. Denials, court cases and anniversaries are left out. The fast signal, ahead of the theft list. Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2.
Binance (32 outlets) reported hacked or draining funds in the last 24 hours.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 1, red at 2. Status amber.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Binance32 outlets
Zero-days and breaches (news)88headlines / 3dCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Headlines from the last 3 days about zero-days exploited in the wild or emergency patches, and about big data breaches and ransomware attacks. They feed the hack tracker. Context only: news volume is never scored.
12 zero-day headlines and 76 breach and ransomware headlines in the last 3 days. Context for the hack tracker only: news volume is not scored. Context only: this reading is shown, never scored.
Google NewsObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
Largest exchange theft, 7 days6,360USD mRedLVL —RATE —
The largest theft from a centralised crypto exchange in the last 7 days, from DefiLlama's hack list, which logs thefts about a day after they happen. Fixed thresholds: amber at $100 million (about 6 exchanges in 3 years), red at $1 billion (only Bybit in 2025).
Largest exchange theft in 7 days: Binance CEX, $6,360 million on 2026-10-29. DefiLlama adds thefts about a day after they happen.
Fixed thresholds: amber at 100, red at 1000. Status red.
DefiLlama hacksObserved 2026-10-31 08:30 MDT
- Binance CEX$6,360M2026-10-29 · exchange · Key Leaked via Infrastructure
- Polymarket International$2.7M2026-10-29 · Prediction Market · Supply Chain Attack
- Fence Finance$1.01M2026-10-27 · DeFi Protocol · Incorrect Share Accounting
System health
Failing with no recent reading to fall back on: GDELT crisis volume. Held from an earlier sweep after a failed fetch: US crude stocks (EIA), Gas price, Rocky Mountain region, Gasoline stocks, Rocky Mountain region, OPM operating status.
No free source wired yet: Supply chain (Grocery shelf stock, Amazon shipping times); Transit and schools (Transit ridership, School closures); X chatter (Conflict, Evacuation, Supply, Energy, Markets, Outbreak, Aviation, Unrest, Home keywords).
Pharmacy sales
Pharmacy salesWatches FDA drug shortages for common antibiotics, as a stand-in for pharmacy sales.A rush on antibiotics and fever medicine can be an early hint of a spreading illness. Real pharmacy sales data is private, so this proxy is shown for context and never raises a warning on its own.Sources: openFDA drug shortages.How to read this board ›Stand-in.Antibiotic shortages (proxy)Stand-in21shortagesCalibratingLVL —RATE ——
Current FDA shortages matching common antibiotic names. Retail sales are proprietary. This proxy never alerts on its own.
21 current shortages match the antibiotic name list. Stand-in for pharmacy sales. Need 9 points for a level baseline (have 4). No alert from this indicator.
openFDAObserved 2026-10-30 12:00 MDT
- Clindamycin Phosphate InjectionCurrentAnti-Infective
- Penicillin G Benzathine InjectionCurrentAnti-Infective
Supply chain
Supply chainWatches grocery prices, plus placeholders for shelf stock and delivery times that have no public feed yet.Empty shelves and slower deliveries show strain in the supply chain before most people feel it. Until a public feed exists, only the price index reads anything, and it never raises a warning on its own.Sources: FRED (food-at-home CPI from the Bureau of Labor Statistics).How to read this board ›Stand-in.Food-at-home CPI (FRED)Stand-in321.1indexGreenLVL +1.38RATE -0.94
BLS food-at-home CPI via FRED. A price proxy, still a stand-in.
FRED CUSR0000SAF11 close for 2026-09-01: 321.111.
Level z +1.38 over 24 prior points. 1-step rate z -0.94. Status green from the level and rate check (amber 2, red 3, direction higher).
Past its freshness window.
FREDObserved 2026-09-01 12:00 MDT